That'a a lot of stuff to contemplate. I do have a couple of preliminary thoughts.
1) If you consider only that portion of the Universe that humanity can currently interact much with, the Earth, then it seems obvious that if any telos as such exists it certainly is making use of increasing complexity, and it's not exactly linear.
2) Any sufficiently good simulation would certainly be indistinguishable from Reality, whatever that is.
3) If we begin by assuming we (humanity, our observable Universe and all) are a simulation, then we must be close enugh to some Reality to actually function as a Reality. (Are there real Realities and fake Realities?) Should that matter to anyone other than as a philosophical question? I don't see why. What could we do about it? We might as well go on believing, until proven or shown otherwise, as if we exist in the Only real Reality.
4) That always leads me to the Free Will debate. I find it simple. Either we have Free Will or we don't. And we can either act as if we do or we can act as if we don't. Therefore the only rational thing to do is to believe we have Free Will becuase of we do that's the winning strategy, and if we don't it doesn't matter. A simple 2x2 box shows this clearly.
5) If the American System collapses, and if the overall increasing complexity is real, the collapse is just one more step in an increasing and anti-fragile complexity, but it's the complexity that survives, not groups of individuals.
6) Good managers are more like surfers than like builders of railroads. One must 'surf' the inherent chaos because it's impossible to build a 'railroad' (system) that can forever survive the chaos.
7) and finally, trying to 'harness' chaos is pretty pointless in the long run, so a system that is 'run' by MBAs or Accounts is bound to fail. And the Black Swans of management are never MBAs or Accountants.
I'll think about all this more, but I note that my son got Starlink when he couldn't get fiber-optic cable fun 100 feet under the road next to his house. And he found that it's better and just as cheap in a period of a couple of years. Also, Musk is building a huge home battery system that few are paying attention to. A few small nuke power sites or a decent space-located microwave beaming power satellites and he can take over the power distribution systems, too.
I knew we'd have fun with this one. And yes, I did leave out some of Musk's accomplishments. I should probably have included Starlink, at least, because it is the future of personal wireless communication, at least for the short term, and has the potential to be the infrastructure for a lot more than text, phone calls, and downloads of music and movies. I, personally, lust after a Powerwall, but can't come even remotely close to affording one. Not unless I somehow sign up about 5000 Substack paid subscribers.
That'a a lot of stuff to contemplate. I do have a couple of preliminary thoughts.
1) If you consider only that portion of the Universe that humanity can currently interact much with, the Earth, then it seems obvious that if any telos as such exists it certainly is making use of increasing complexity, and it's not exactly linear.
2) Any sufficiently good simulation would certainly be indistinguishable from Reality, whatever that is.
3) If we begin by assuming we (humanity, our observable Universe and all) are a simulation, then we must be close enugh to some Reality to actually function as a Reality. (Are there real Realities and fake Realities?) Should that matter to anyone other than as a philosophical question? I don't see why. What could we do about it? We might as well go on believing, until proven or shown otherwise, as if we exist in the Only real Reality.
4) That always leads me to the Free Will debate. I find it simple. Either we have Free Will or we don't. And we can either act as if we do or we can act as if we don't. Therefore the only rational thing to do is to believe we have Free Will becuase of we do that's the winning strategy, and if we don't it doesn't matter. A simple 2x2 box shows this clearly.
5) If the American System collapses, and if the overall increasing complexity is real, the collapse is just one more step in an increasing and anti-fragile complexity, but it's the complexity that survives, not groups of individuals.
6) Good managers are more like surfers than like builders of railroads. One must 'surf' the inherent chaos because it's impossible to build a 'railroad' (system) that can forever survive the chaos.
7) and finally, trying to 'harness' chaos is pretty pointless in the long run, so a system that is 'run' by MBAs or Accounts is bound to fail. And the Black Swans of management are never MBAs or Accountants.
I'll think about all this more, but I note that my son got Starlink when he couldn't get fiber-optic cable fun 100 feet under the road next to his house. And he found that it's better and just as cheap in a period of a couple of years. Also, Musk is building a huge home battery system that few are paying attention to. A few small nuke power sites or a decent space-located microwave beaming power satellites and he can take over the power distribution systems, too.
I knew we'd have fun with this one. And yes, I did leave out some of Musk's accomplishments. I should probably have included Starlink, at least, because it is the future of personal wireless communication, at least for the short term, and has the potential to be the infrastructure for a lot more than text, phone calls, and downloads of music and movies. I, personally, lust after a Powerwall, but can't come even remotely close to affording one. Not unless I somehow sign up about 5000 Substack paid subscribers.